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Reactions as Peter Obi leads Tinubu, Atiku in poll conducted by Ngozi Okonjo Iweala firm

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Going by the outcome of the poll conducted by NOI Polls Limited, which was commissioned by the Atedo N. A. Peterside Foundation, the presidential candidate of the Labour Party,  Peter Obi may emerge the winner of next year’s election, ahead of Bola Tinubu and Atiku Abubakar.

According to the poll published on Thursday, Obi polled 21 per cent while the candidates of the ruling All Progressive Congress (APC) Tinubu and that of main opposition Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) Abubakar polled 13 per cent each.

The candidate of the New Nigeria People’s Party (NNPP), Rabiu Kwankwaso came distance fourth in the poll with three per cent of the polls and is considered as a ‘dark horse’.

“The results showed a significant lead for Mr Peter Obi with 21 per cent of voters proposing to vote for him if the presidential election were to be conducted today; and 13 per cent each proposing to vote for Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Alhaji Atiku Abubakar who are both tied in second place. Dr Rabiu Kwankwaso was a distant fourth with 3% of voters proposing to vote for him,” a statement by ANAP foundation announcing the result of the poll shows.

A statement issued by ANAP noted that Obi’s 8 percentage point lead at this early stage is significant, but not sufficient to separate him completely from a leading pack of candidates scoring 21 per cent, 13 per cent and 13 per cent  respectively.

It says that undecided voters and those who prefer not to reveal their preferred candidate add up to a whopping 32 per cent and 15 per cent respectively, adding that the gender split of undecided voters shows that 39 per cent of women are undecided versus 27 per cent of male voters.

The percentage of registered voters according to ANAP foundation is as follows in each of the zones – 99 per cent in the North East, 90 per cent in the South South, the North Central and the North West respectively. The lowest registered voter percentages were in the South East with 88 per cent and the South West with 85 per cent.

“When asked if respondents were aware of the various candidates vying for the Presidency, data gathered showed that 99 per cent of the respondents were aware of Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the APC. 98 per cent were aware of Alhaji Atiku Abubakar of the PDP. 95 per cent were aware of  Mr. Peter Obi of LP  and 74 per cent were aware of Dr. Rabiu Kwankwaso of the NNPP. All other candidates scored below 55 per cent in terms of name recognition.

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“Furthermore, the data summarizes top five reasons why voters are more inclined to vote in the forthcoming elections, these include: – The need to tackle insecurity (45 per cent), the Economy (20 per cent), Education (9 per cent), Unemployment (7 per cent) and Poverty alleviation (4 per cent).

“46 per cent of the respondents would love to see their preferred Presidential candidates participate in a televised interview and/or debate, with the interview/debates spanning across topics like their party manifestos, issues of Security, Economy, Education, Job Creation, Healthcare and Agriculture amongst others.

“It is worthy of note that 69 per cent of those aged 18-25, 76 per cenet of those aged 26-35, 77 per cent of those aged 36-45, 87 per cent of those aged 46-60 and 89 per cent of those aged 61+ responded saying that they would definitely vote in the coming elections.

“The age groups that expressed the greatest willingness to vote were those between 46-60 and 61+ years. On average, the Poll shows that almost 8 in 10 registered voters are absolutely certain that they would be voting in the next presidential election.

“If they stay committed then we could witness a huge turnout in the February 2023 elections. Furthermore, Mr. Peter Obi led the pack in virtually all the age categories i.e. his leadership was not confined to the youths only.

“While these Poll results show some significant trends, it is key to note that the battle ahead lies in the hands of the undecided/swing voters, as it appears they would ultimately decide which candidate takes the lead to emerge as the President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria in the 2023 presidential elections.

In summary, our September 2022 Polls are inconclusive in terms of establishing a clear winner, as the undecided voters are large enough to turn the tables. However, ANAP Foundation has concluded that the trends are clear enough to establish the front runners and so our subsequent polls will concentrate on the 4 leading candidates only.”

Nigeria’s presidential elections will hold in February 2023 with campaigns set to start at the end of September.

Reacting to the result of the poll, kelechi Ojinnaka wrote on his Twitter handle; My happiness with this is that it is coming from VERY CREDIBLE people. This confirms my hobbyist models. @PeterObi bring home this cup to the youths. Do it!!”

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